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Dimon shared his thinking with various outlets, but explained to Bloomberg: “We look at risk, at the broad range of outcomes, and there are negative outcomes. One of them would be inflation; I call it the skunk at the party. It’s been coming down, but it seems to maybe have leveled off around 3%. If things make it go up—and this is only one thing; you can look at medical prices, construction prices, insurance prices, wages—inflation is a big thing. It’s not just oil, so we’ll say.…this will add a little bit, a teeny bit to inflation.”
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The last 15 years has created a perfect storm for major change to come to retirement policy, Ghilarducci explained. As 76 million baby boomers have retired and Gen X’s retirement is on the horizon, people have been disappointed in how their assets or 401(k)s have grown, she said.